Garfield Trail

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The Hikers

New member
Joined
Nov 18, 2008
Messages
292
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Location
Barrington, NH
We've decided we can't stand another day of looking out at the rain, so we are going to climb Garfield tomorrow ,whatever the forecast. Is there any problem with the Gale River Loop Road? I seem to remember a bridge was out at one time.
 
Yes indeed...the western branch of Gale River Road is closed due to three bridges being out. You can still access the Garfield Trail from the east branch of the road (ie the way one would normally access the Gale River Trail).
 
This is related to The Hikers original posting where it was stated:
“We've decided we can't stand another day of looking out at the rain, so we are going to climb Garfield tomorrow, whatever the forecast.”

Because of the NOAA weather forecast, I opted to finish up some trail work on the Mt. Tremont Trail today. At the time I checked, NOAA predicted only a 50% chance of rain/thunderstorms in Northern Carroll County (where Tremont is located) versus a 70% chance for Northern Grafton and Southern Coos counties.

So what happened?! I got rained on twice during thunderstorms in the Mt. Tremont area; whereas folks I talked to in Bethlehem (Northern Grafton) got no rain. Go figure!

BOTTOM LINE: Even if the forecast is for rain/thunderstorms in the Mt. Garfield area, who the heck knows if this will happen.
Take rain gear. That should ward off any rain! But, leave the rain gear at home, and you’re assured of rain. How’s that for a forecast?!:D;)
 
Take rain gear. That should ward off any rain! But, leave the rain gear at home, and you’re assured of rain. How’s that for a forecast?!:D;)
Ha! I guess this goes with the "the only gear your going to need is the stuff you left in your trunk" statement.
 
If half of the time they forecast 50% chance of rain it actually does rain, then they are 100% accurate.
 
If half of the time they forecast 50% chance of rain it actually does rain, then they are 100% accurate.

Andy is right - you really have to look at the probabilities.

My rule of thumb: 30% or under, go with your original plan. 60% or more, plan on it, think seriously about staying below treeline if lightning is forecast. In the middle, flip a coin. But unless it looks like a really bad storm or sever thunderstorms, I still go.

I also like the NWS hourly forecast which shows rain, thunder, it gives some clue as to the general trend.
 
Weather and Hiking...

I like when the forecast says...

"Chance of rain and thunderstorms "before" 2pm. Then chance of rain and thunderstorms "after 2pm."
 
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