Happy Candlemas Day (AKA Groundhog day)

[peakbagger]

Phil the Pennsylvanian groundhog and his brethren is a surrogate for the European Badger (who was a surrogate for a bear) in attempting to predict spring. Ignoring the forecast for tomorrow, it looks like a fine winter day today. Incidentally its also half way through official winter.

 

[Dr. Dasypodidae]

Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow this morning, which supposedly means six more weeks of winter. But according to the Stormfax Almanac and NOAA, Phil has been correct only 39% of the time all time and 40% of the time over the past ten years, not surprisingly a much worse record than any NWS/NOAA ten-day weather forecast.

 

[maineguy]

Reminds me of an old joke about a groundhog and basketball...

 

[maineguy]

Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow this morning, which supposedly means six more weeks of winter. But according to the Stormfax Almanac and NOAA, Phil has been correct only 39% of the time all time and 40% of the time over the past ten years, not surprisingly a much worse record than any NWS/NOAA ten-day weather forecast.

But what about their 6 week weather forecast?

 

[peakbagger]

A link to the NOAA 30 day. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/

 

[Salty]

I don't trust rodents to divine the intricacies of complex long-term weather patterns. I do trust them to wreak havoc in my garden however.

 

[skiguy]

6 more and counting.

 

[Nessmuk]

Well, lets see, looking at the calendar, if Phil had not seen his shadow today, I count just about 6 1/2 weeks remain until the first day of spring. Either way, enjoy the season.

 

[Dr. Dasypodidae]

Apparently there is another spring prognosticating groundhog named Wally who has a 58% success rating; I am assuming that he lives where the sun shines more often than is the case in Pennsylvania.

 

[skiguy]

Apparently there is another spring prognosticating groundhog named Wally who has a 58% success rating; I am assuming that he lives where the sun shines more often than is the case in Pennsylvania.

Maybe Wally ran off with Phyliss.