DayTrip
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The avalanche forecast for Mount Washington was "Low" on all aspects on Monday, February 1, the day of the Mr. Forgay's fatal incident. It is important to note that Low does not equal none, nor does it mean that one can fail to make assessments, however, I would not classify it as "bad conditions."
Ammonoosuc Ravine is a 3,000'-3,400' descent. It may be the most sustained-pitch descent in the Northeast and is definitely one of the premier ski lines east of the Rockies. For those of use who ski throughout the Presidentials, Ammo Ravine is considered a classic line.
Maybe I'm confusing the days. I don't generally check the forecast for this so when warnings make there way in front of me via Instagram, blogs, etc I usually take note that it is probably dangerous up there, more so than normal because it's reaching me without effort. There had been several days with a "high" rating and as I mentioned the MWOBS even had an avalanche warning to start their high summits forecast one day recently. Apparently that was after the 1st. I know conditions can change rapidly from day to day and I've obviously blended several days of data in my head out of chronological order. Saw "skiier fatality" + "avalanche warning on MWOBS forecast" + "avalanche warnings on MWAV" and my mind connected the dots.
I wasn't necessarily implying he went up there on purpose knowing conditions were dangerous but more expressing the thought that a tragedy like this wasn't surprising given the warnings I'd been seeing. As I'm re-reading this I don't know that it makes sense but hopefully you get what I mean.
EDIT: Apparently 2/2 and 2/3 were the days that were "High" and "Considerable" on the MWAC site and I saw the article about the fatality on 2/4. Not sure at what point and why it went from Low to High during that 24 hour period or how that all ties in with the time line of this skier and his run, etc. As many have noted this guy knew what he was doing and how to read the conditions.
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