Other factors to consider for pond ice safety
When we walked around the EDGE of Lonesome Lake the other weekend we factored in the fact that we saw footprints of 6-7 people who had walked the edge before us, fact that pond is not very deep at the edges, ice was probably also thicker oround the edges, and TH was approx. 60 min away. If one of us broke through we certainly wouldn't be over our heads and TH is right near by. Temps weren't all that cold that day either.
1Happyhiker's situation up on Kinsman Pond was similar, except edges of Kinsman Pond is even shallower. Lucky if you go in up to mid-shin. Going straight across increases risk factor a lot. On the other hand .. distance to TH is much longer so there's that to take into account.
Depends how familier you are with the pond. If you know where the water enters it might be deeper or shallower or moving water might make it thinner.
Concentrating the load increases the risk. If conditions are uncertain spread the party out at least 15' spacing. If ice is snow covered and you have snowshoes snowshoes this spreads out your weight ... all factors in your favor. That's what makes snowshoes work. They distribute your weight over larger area.
So there's no simple formula. Just a complex matrix of risk afactors like everything we do in mountains in winter.
Off soapbox. I love it when we get a good freeze before any snowfall and you get deep glass like ice to skate on. On a bright sunny frigid day. That's the best!!!! This happens every once and a while down here in southland. (Boston area that is) And you get beautiful ice with bubbles and cracks. Here's my son David peering into the ice to study a crack on Mystic Lakes in Medford MA. That ice is easily 6-8" thick. You could jump up and down as hard as you like.
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Abstract art at it's best.... poetry in ice.
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