dvbl said:
1 -- carrying enough to survive a few unplanned nights in the winter woods, but therefore having a pack so heavy that you're slower, not as agile, more tired, and maybe more prone to the fall/ankle sprain/knee sprain/crampon tumble/etc that will necessitate all those things in your pack.
Basically a debate of "prepare for the worst" vs "speed equals safety"
DVBL...my comment is not directed at you personally. Just commenting on the topic in general.
I am thinking that unless you were very new to hiking you would know your limits, especially in the winter, and turn back before you lost your agility and were way too tired to handle your own pack.
I also think that if you are suffering that much carrying your pack because of your emergency gear, perhaps a little time in the gym with a personal trainer would help.
When I look back at the number of patients we got with fractured lower extremities, ankles, etc. because they slipped on their back stairs or in their driveways, it is really sobering. Many of them were traveling very light and some were even being cautious. That did not help them avert disaster. Just recently, Danielle Belanger (miracle in Moab) , the endurance athlete slipped on ice while out on a training run and suffered horrific injuries. She survived some 52 hrs but it was the general consensus that she would have died that night because the temps really plummeted. Two other hikers died during that same period out in Utah.
I honestly cannot see the logic in going light and believing that you will not have a mishap because you can hike at a greater rate of speed when you are unencumbered by emergency gear. In Danielle's case, speed might have very well been responsible for her fall. She did not see the ice in time and down she went. Light and fast!
I hate carrying a heavier pack but I honestly think I would hate freezing to death on some trail even more, not to mention losing extremities because of frostbite.
I always find myself concerned for new hikers on the boards who might want any excuse to go light and could find themselves in a really big mess because we encouraged them to do just that.
I would encourage them to take a winter survival course from the AMC or other like minded organizations. It can't hurt and it just might be very enlightening.
It might feel more comfortable to drive without a seatbelt on, but is it really safe?