MichaelJ said:
However, since I believe trail distances in most texts are also horizontal, not developed, lengths, that would make the GPS match the calculation based on my watch and the book.
JJHikes said:
I don't think this is true, as in my experience, the GPS varies greatly from the AMC distance on sections with significant pitch, and the AMC distance seems about right based on time, etc.
Consumer GPS distances are horizontal.
However, trail distances would depend upon how they are measured.
* A measuring wheel dragged along a trail would measure the 3D distance. But the size of the wheel is a factor--a smaller wheel would measure a longer distance than a larger wheel because it would track smaller bumps and depressions. (This is getting into concepts of fractal dimension and length of a fractal. Same as how long is a coastline?) And how much would the wheel wobble from side to side as a result of the human pulling it following a sequence of good foot placements?
* If measured on a map, one would get a horizontal distance, but what scale map? Does it show every little twist and turn of the trail? (And how accurately is the trail plotted on the map?)
* If measured with a GPS track, you actually have a sequence of points. These points are usually connected with straight lines to create a continuous track. If you are on a perfectly straight route, errors would cause the points to be on one side or the other and lengthen the measured track. If the route curves, the straight lines between the points would cut off parts of the route and shorten the measured track. The magnitude of these effects would be a function of how far apart the points are. (These effects also occur with a survey grade GPS (and traditional surveying), but one would expect that the errors would be smaller.)
* If estimated by hiking speed and time, how did you calibrate your speed? If you calibrated it by hiking trails that are listed as being 10% longer than they really are, then your estimates might average 10% high. If you calibrate and test on trails that have been labeled by the same authority, you have no way of telling what your absolute accuracy is. Also, how consistent are you--is your estimate the same when you are tired, hot, carrying a heavy pack, breaking trail, etc? I'd expect human estimates to be the least accurate method for measuring a trail.
Basically, there is no fundamental length of a trail--the "correct" value depends upon a set of assumptions. And each method of measuring would have its own systematic errors (biases) and random errors.
In other words, all trail lengths are approximate and different sources can legitimately give different numbers.
Doug