DougPaul
Well-known member
IMO, a reasonable speculation.Tim Seaver said:****Speculation Alert****
If this article is correct (keeping in mind that news accounts do not always reflect what really happened), it sounds like Gagnon was ahead after they decided to turn back, then missed the junction atop Lafayette, continuing north on the Garfield Ridge Trail. If the visibility was low, he conceiveably wouldn't have to be that far ahead to be out of sight. His partners may have arrived at the summit after he went straight, and taken the left to Greenleaf without realizing that Gagnon had missed the turn, still thinking that he was just ahead of them. I am guessing that once they reached Greenleaf, it finally dawned on them that Gagnon was not ahead, but even then, may have not been sure if he was still headed down the mountain in front of them.
What is the source of the article? Don't think I have seen it.
It can be very easy to lose contact in high winds and visibility.Having been in a few similar situations, I think a few good lessons can be gleaned from this incident. One would be to avoid losing visual contact with the members of your group when encountering high winds and low visibility, and another would be to always stop at any junction if in the lead, to wait for the group to catch up. Of course, when visibility is low, above-treeline junctions are much easier to miss, which may be exactly what happened here.
Many years ago, some friends and I were skiing up Moosilauke via the old Snapper Tr in a gathering storm (wind, low vis, falling snow, but much milder than the conditions on Franconia Ridge). About at T-line (on the Carriage Rd, IIRC), we stopped to put on above-T line gear, including balaclavas and goggles etc (reduces hearing and vision...). When I was ready to go, I looked up and my friends were simply gone and I couldn't be sure which way they had gone. If they had said anything to me before they left, I didn't hear it...
It can also be very hard to hold a conversation in conditions such as those on Franconia Ridge--it is a bit like standing next to a fast freight train. At best you have to shout in each others ears, at worst, all you can do is use hand gestures. It wouldn't have been hard for the trio to end up "agreeing" to 3 different decisions...
One of the disadvantages to splitting up in this case was that the victim did not have access to all of the group gear (eg tent, stove, food), which was presumably split up among the trio. He is reported to have made a make-shift shelter, so he probably didn't have a tent. Don't have any reports on the stove and food. (Don't forget that some food is inedible without the stove.)
The victim was reported to have frostbite on his hands and feet, but I have seen no info on how severe it is. Severity can range from loss of tissue to completely healable, but moderate frostbite can result in compromised circulation and permanent increased sensitivity to the cold. It can take up to months for the final impact to be known. So while the victim survived mostly intact, it may be a while before the damage is known. (And the story will be well off the front page by then.)In any case, I am certainly glad he came out of this incident intact. The SAR folks really shined on this one, here is a hat tip to them all!
Agreed-the SAR folks did well here.
Doug