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Mattl

Mattl

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The White Mountains and Greens are under Heavy Snow Warnings and Winter Storm Warnings. 4-8 or so inches for both. That is for elevations mostly above 1500 feet. The storm is transitioning off the coast and pinwheeling back so it will snow all day up there tomorrow then upslope really gets going. I think totals above 3000 feet will be more like 6-15 inches with some higher amounts. So if you are hiking this weekend get ready for it, it will be chilly with snowshowers all weekend. Areas just south of the mountains have a 3-6 going down to 1-3 the further south you go. If anyone like maybe Waumbeck gets any good snow totals, put them on here :) -Mattl
 
Oooooooooohhh. I went hiking last week so this weekend was a work around the house weekend but... If I can put something off for one week, why not two?
 
Truth be told I am actually rather worried. Its strange for models to change this close to the event, but the wraparound may not be as sig as before. I think 4-8 may still happen but not in elevations below 2000 feet really at all. The upper forecast was based on the GFS and Nam this afternoon. They have both changed slightly now and not for the best. I still think the mountains will get some decent snow, but not as widespread as before. Gray is leaving their warnings up, but for the most part I dont think this will be as big a deal where people live, more for hikers. -Mattl
 
Mattl said:
Truth be told I am actually rather worried. Its strange for models to change this close to the event, but the wraparound may not be as sig as before. I think 4-8 may still happen but not in elevations below 2000 feet really at all. The upper forecast was based on the GFS and Nam this afternoon. They have both changed slightly now and not for the best. I still think the mountains will get some decent snow, but not as widespread as before. Gray is leaving their warnings up, but for the most part I dont think this will be as big a deal where people live, more for hikers. -Mattl
Click to expand...
That's basically what you said last time...and the time before that...and the time before that...and...


rather significant snow storm

the mountains have been just getting dumped over and over again with snow and there is no end in sight

several feet of snow

our high was only 5 degrees yestersday

it will be a major storm that will likely shut down NE

brutally cold

It will snow most of the weekend

now its snowing even harder

Parts NH are gonna get rocked

that may burry central and northern new england

Are you related to Chicken Little? :p
 
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NH_Mtn_Hiker said:
That's basically what you said last time...and the time before that...and the time before that...and...
Click to expand...

Mattl sure is a big fan of good ole NE snowstorms. I think the exictement and optimism is refreshing. Takes me back to praying for snow days out of school :D

I'd be happy with a dusting at lower elevations, where I mostly hang out in November/December tracking moose. A dusting makes for easy tracking and travel, love this time of year in the mountains.

happy trails :)
 
Well if it makes you feel better all of the White Mountains have heavy snow this morning and Coos County as well. I think there still be will those arounts, thats why you have to give a range of forecasts. Snowstorms are so hard to forecast because of how variable they are. I am merely letting hikers know the hazards they will face hiking and anyone who enjoys weather. Im sorry if you have a problem with weather being "variable" at least I admit if I am wrong and tell what is going to happen. Why dont you try and forecast weather and see how challening it is. My forecast is actually still pretty close as of this morning, and most of the time. I think the northern Whites will get the most snow, Pres, Twins area and northern Whites. 4-8, higher peaks 6-10. Still going to happen. -Mattl

ps: I just read though those past forecast I did, and I really couldn't find more then 1 where I mentioned that I was completely wrong or made a mistake.
 
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A couple of fun weather cams

The early snowstorm stuff really gets me going too (though this really isn't early, in my opinion. Early would be late Sept, or the beginning of October...now that would shock some people. :p

Pittsburh, NH

Scroll down for this one

Waterville Valley

Nice :)

Loon Mtn

Sarananc Lake, NY Cam (very nice)

Island Pond, VT

Walden, Vt This can be a good one, lots of times, there are animals walking by :)

And just because this really ticks me off, a picture from Virginia.....they had measurable snowfall in the town of Saltville before I did in Hanover.

Saltville

Heh, oh well. :)

Hope you enjoy these links. There are many more that show snow!

grouseking
 
I'm at the base of the Southeast portion of the Sandwich Range and there is no snow to report...socked in up above, so I can't see Chocorua at the moment.
 
Woody48 said:
It's only a dusting, but it is snowing and making the parking lot white here is Gardner Massachusetts outside of my office! :p :p
Click to expand...


Ugh, now I'm jealous. You must have some elevation, because I'm at around 460 feet and it continues to lightly rain right now up in Hanover. I'm sure we'll get ours later. :D
 
Mattl said:
The storm is transitioning off the coast and pinwheeling back so it will snow all day up there tomorrow then upslope really gets going -Mattl
Click to expand...

Could you exlain upslope for us weather forcast klutzes..thanks! :)
 
A lot of factors come into play for perfect upslope, but for upslope itself, it is just moisture being lifted by the terrain as it reaches it. As moisture rises, it cools and is squeezed out by mountains. It most commonly happens in winter because cold air hold much less moisture then warm air. So if there is even any moisture available at all and the right wind direction, you can essentially get some form of upslope. In perfect upslope conditions which happened in 2005. Grouseking and I hiked Pierce, during what is called one of the most impressive upslope storms in history. Everything came into play that March day, and dropped 30-40 inches of snow over some parts of the White Mountains. Places like the Hancocks only had about an inch of snow from it, Pierce which seemed to win from what I saw had about 40 inches from it. It went from Franconia Notch to the Presidentials. Twin Mountain had 20ish, Bretton Woods had 28 or so, and Crawford Notch recored 24 inches or so at the AMC Lodge. It also comes into play during storms and enhances precipitation. Is that OK? -Mattl
 
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