Pig Pen said:
Maybe I'm a moron, but I've never really understood why solo hiking, winter or otherwise, is considered to be significantly more dangerous than hiking with a group. You guys state this as if it goes without saying but you're going to have to spell it out for me.
I have no statistical data to back this up, but I have my past experience that has forged my opinions. Solo is more dangerous than being in a group. Winter is more dangerous than summer. Solo in winter is the most dangerous of the four options.
You said I will have to spell it out, so here is the obvious. If you are hiking with three other people and you fall and break your leg, then one can stay with you and two can go for help. Even if you are hiking with just one other person, then that person knows what your problem is, where you are, and can go for help. If you are solo then you are stuck there until you crawl out or someone happens across you. My take on it is that solo hiking is not more dangerous than hiking in a group if you are talking about the statistics of hiking accidents (the issue of group dynamics is very interesting here, but lets leave actual numerical statistics out as the original poster requested), but it is more dangerous in terms of the final outcome in the event of an accident.
What I am saying is, what are the chances of breaking your leg (or hitting your head and getting a concussion etc) when hiking solo vs. hiking in a group? On the same trail under the same conditions, probably the same. I realize (from personal experience and what others have said) that you might have a better chance of not having an accident when you are solo because a solo hiker tends to be more conservative and more careful. However, the big issue is what happens after the accident. In the case of a serious accident, your chances of survival go way down if you are solo.
Do I have statistics to back this up? No. I have personal experience though and, for me, that counts a lot and it has changed my habits.
Lets rewind to "back in the day". When choosing between hiking solo or not hiking at all, I would hike solo. I would hike solo in winter and I would hike solo above treeline in winter. I even used to backpack solo in winter above treeline. (I think I read too many Reinhold Messner books.)
Fast forward a bit and after a few years there was a reoccurring trend of the post trip "Wow, that was awesome. It was pretty stupid though. But it was cool as hell." I can remember doing a solo winter backpack on the Franconia Ridge and I didn't see anyone for two days. At one point on the ridge I had to drop down some icy/snowy boulders. there was no way to climb down other than to just hop down. I sat there for quite a while thinking "man, it would really suck to break a leg here". I finally slid/jumped down and didn't get hurt. Psyched. Spent an interesting night alone in a snowstorm in a bivy bag that night.
Strain on my family? Yes, that was very real. My parents and close friends would freak out everytime I headed North in the winter. It got to the point where I would lie to my family about what I was doing. I still made sure that I told a friend my route and expected times and did the check in phone calls, but I would lie to my family so they wouldn't worry.
My first small wake up call came during a hike with a friend of mine. We were above treeline and I fell and did quite the split between some boiler plate ice and deep powder and dislocated my hip. I got super lucky and my hip popped back in. It hurt like hell, but I was able to hike out. Did I need my friend? No. Would I have gotten out if I was solo? Yes. My winter solo adventures continued.
Fast forward a little more and then there was my big wake up call. I was above treeline in the Presies in winter with a friend of mine. We were attempting a traverse. I ended up going severely hypothermic (long story that maybe I'll post) and the bottom line is that my friend saved my life. If I was solo I would have died. No two ways about it. You can question if I was solo would I have allowed myself to get into that position? I will say that if this event had not happened then my adventures would most certainly have led to me having enough of a false sense of security that would have eventually put me in the same or similar situation solo.
Fast forward to the near present and my mountain biking accident that broke my leg. A little over two miles from the road on a sunny warm day. I was with a friend and by leaning on him and hopping (very, very painfully to the point of near blackout) we got out of the woods before it got dark. If I had been solo (and I mountain bike solo a lot) I would have been in a world of hurt. That is two miles from a road in the Massachusetts woods on a warm spring day. Sure, like Sherpa's skiing accident, this has nothing to do with hiking solo above treeline in winter, but I learned that it is a lot easier to break your leg than I thought.
If you break your leg or go hypothermic (unless you have experienced severe hypothermia you probably have no idea how fast it can progress) or have any other serious injury above treeline in the winter and no one is around to see it, you are probably toast. If someone is there and can go for help, then you have a chance. I don't need statistical numbers to reach the decision that I will not be doing anymore above treeline winter hikes or winter backpacks solo.
Long post, but in summary it is not the accident, it is what happens after the accident that makes solo adventures more dangerous. Choosing to take on that risk, is of course left to each individual.
- darren