2024: Leas snow than normal
- Thread starter B the Hiker
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Rhody Seth
Active member
I think we can just say that this is now normal. It's one more reason I'm sick of living in Rhode Island. It's been years since we've had a decent winter!
Would you please be so kind as to cite a source?
Same here in central CT. Right next to my place, there's a short, steep hill, created when this site was developed. It's hill with a consistent angle, and would make a great sledding hill. Anyways I've really been wanting to practice ice axe self-arrest there, but we haven't had enough snow in like 3-4 years to be able to go play around on it, with axe or sled.
Is the prediction for less snow due to whatever precipitation falls being rain rather than snow, or is it due to less precipitation of any kind? Things have been pretty dry around here (CT) for the past couple of months, so if that lack of precipitation persists for a few more months, there will certainly be less snow.
But the only thing funnier than the folks who think they can predict the weather a few months from now are the folks who think they can predict the climate 50 years from now.
Course, they could get lucky...
TomK
But the only thing funnier than the folks who think they can predict the weather a few months from now are the folks who think they can predict the climate 50 years from now.
Course, they could get lucky...
TomK
Human induced global warming is an inconvenient truth. There is no denying it.
If folks have not read it, Greta Thunberg’s book, The Climate Book, is phenomenal. Little bite sized chapters, 2-4 pages, on one specific topic, written by the world’s leading scientists in plain English. If you have any doubts about climate change, you won’t after reading that.
Also, NPR’s show Marketplace has an excellent new podcast on how the U.S. is grappling with climate change (since their naval bases are flooding and the boots on the ground are dealing with more temperature extremes).
Brian
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“In summary, La Niña is most likely to emerge in October-December 2024 (57% chance) and is expected to persist through January-March 2025.”
https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-...late-surprise-united-states-canada-europe-fa/
Look at the latest for February and March Northern US and Canada above average while everyone else below.
This one convinced me to get my snowblower tuned up.
A lot to parse here as well but I find them as accurate as most places forecasting a month out.
DayTrip
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I've gotten quite used to not shoveling here and driving up North for Winter when I'm in the mood for it.
Mac
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This is a similar La Nina forecast to what occurred in winter 2015. Snow started around the 3rd week of January and didn't stop until April (7 feet of snow on the ground west of I95 in Mass).
Last year snows came late as well. Frustrating but is what it is.
JoshandBaron
Well-known member
No complaints here. All the roads are still open for plenty of truck trips. A campfire would be nice, though.
The assertion that such an insignificant creature as mankind has a significant impact on climate vs the vast power of nature can not only be rightly denied, but roundly mocked and ridiculed as the human-centric arrogance that it reeks of. And I will thank you not to tell me what I may or may not deny. If you want to believe such rubbish, have at it, but please refrain from presuming to tell others what they may or may not believe.
If each chapter is written by "the world's leading scientists", how in the world can it be called doom pixie Greta's book? Kinda confused here.
And of course, if you just read one book, written by persuasive people and designed to persuade, why would you not be persuaded? B, my recollection is that you are in the law business, does a judge or jury render a decision after hearing only the prosecutor's or plaintiff's presentation? I could be wrong, but I'd expect that is unusual at best. Better to get a wide range of views. "The world's leading scientists" haven't had the best track record lately. I expect most of them are good people, trying diligently to do good work, but the track record recently is kinda spotty.
State media NPR? Now that's a credible source, right up there with doom pixie Greta, and the Washington Post, cited in your initial post of this thread. Of course, just because a source is not credible, doesn't mean that they can't be right. They could luck out.
> “In summary, La Niña is most likely to emerge in October-December 2024 (57% chance) and is expected to persist through January-March 2025.”
57% is better than a coin toss, but not by much. 43% chance of going the other way. I certainly wouldn't want a weapon of any sort fired towards me if there was a 43% chance it would hit. Sometimes you have no choice but to go with the odds, as best they can be determined, but this isn't one of those cases, and I'm content to find it an interesting tid-bit of information, and then ignore it.
Now at this point, I'm sure that Peakbagger would step in and chide me for getting far afield of discussion of hiking, and I suppose he'd be correct, so I will shut up on this thread.
I'd much rather read of B's upcoming adventure on the Cascade Brook and Kinsman Pond trails, if he is kind enough to post about it afterward.
TomK
JoshandBaron
Well-known member
Feel free to counter with "credible sources"
Salty
Active member
helmethiker
New member
Each of us is puny, but 8 billion or so can add up. Believing in the punyness of mankind is kind of like believing there is wilderness in New England somewhere.
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