There is a long tradition in mountaineering of analyzing accidents in the hope of preventing future ones. For instance, the bowline (goldline rope) and then the double bowline (kernmantle rope) knots used to be the standard knots for climbers to tie into the rope. Accident analysis showed some unanticipated failure modes and the knot was replaced by the safer rethreaded figure-8 knot.
Proper accident analysis isn't about castigating the victim. It is about studying what happened, including errors made by the victim or his party if appropriate and trying to prevent a repeat. Next time you are at REI etc or a good bookstore, take a look at "Accidents in North American Mountaineering" by the American Alpine Club. There are online excerpts at
http://www.americanalpineclub.org/pages/page/72. Accident reports by the pros.
In this case, the victim went out into predicted very severe conditions with inadequate equipment and made a navigational error resulting in his becoming lost off trail. He could have done a number of things to reduce the chance of problems, such as:
* do something else based upon the forecast
* turn back based upon observed the current conditions before reaching the ridge. (Note that the wind would have been at his back on the way up so he might have underestimated how hard it would be to travel on the ridge or descend back into it.)
* stay with the party--if all are looking for the turn-off, three are more likely to find it than one
As it was, they did decide to turn back from the ridge and made a mistake in execution.
Are there things we can learn from this to lessen the chance that it will happen to us? Of course:
* Stay aware of conditions, be flexible, and be willing to change plans at any moment
* Staying together probably would have been better--if one gets into trouble, perhaps the others can help him. All it takes is severely cold hands to make you unable to open your pack and get at the tools within.
* Don't go (or turn back) if you don't have adequate gear
* Look behind you so you know what the retreat route looks like
* Little mountains can have big mountain weather
None of these should be a suprise to an adequately experienced mountaineer, but these mistakes aren't rare.
We don't know how experienced the victim was with respect to the conditions found on the ridge, but what little we know suggests that he might have been out in conditions that he wasn't adequately prepared to handle. (eg, the boots)
Furthermore, for many, part of mountaineering is learning new skills. This often requires going out in conditions or doing things that may push one's envelope. And one is more likely to make mistakes and get into trouble at the edge of one's envelope.
As of yet, we only have limited information on what happened, what gear they carried, and their experience levels. When we learn more, perhaps some of the details of what I have said above will be invalidated, but there may also be more lessons.
Doug