No matter what your definition of “prepared” is, I think most folks would agree that is a very comprehensive list of items.
Thanks for posting that.
So lets say a prepared individual would carry 20lbs on his back.
And let say a light and fast dude would carry 5-10lbs on his back.
So the basis of the conundrum is 10-15lbs.
So how much faster and safer can one be by carrying 5-10lbs vs 20lbs? And is the risk/reward ratio still the same given these assumptions?
Craig, I think this is where these conversations just reach no end. There are too many variables to compute "faster and safer" depending on what or how much you carry. You can't just label one group the "prepared" and the other "light and fast".
I would rather like to relabel two groups as such:
Inflexible
Flexible
The trip #1:
The forecast is calling for 100% gorgeous weather. Big high pressure system just pounding your local mountains for the whole week with temps in the 40s up at elevation. Warm temps and no winds and you confirm that as such when you get to the TH. You have a dayhike planned to a winter peak above treeline.
The Inflexible group: I like to be prepared for everything, even a winter storm in the Sahara, so I will load up my pack like I usually do for every trip. My packs are about the same for Winter and Summer, other than some changes in clothing I will still take my 10 lighters, a box of matches, some waxed cotton balls, and a flint, just in case.
The flexible group: The weather is awesome and it's supposed to be warm all week long - they might screw up forecasts for a day or half a day... but a whole week? Damn, I'm not taking my mittens, extra jacket, extra hat, goggles, extra socks, stove, overnight gear. And hey, is it supposed to be so warm that I can wear my lighter weight boots? Awesome! Is the trail I chose usually well packed and well travelled? Does it usually get icy? Can I leave heavy flotation behind?
Well, maybe I'll take the snowshoes just in case and see what conditions are like - and hey, look, at 6 miles in I still haven't used the snowshoes and conditions are great - am I coming back the same way? Yes. Awesome, I will stash the snowshoes in the trees and get them on the way back.
The trip #2:
Forecast is calling for some PM snow showers, temps in the singles, winds 10mph+, gusts up to 30mph. It has been a cold, snowy, and cloudy winter. You have a dayhike planned to a winter peak above treeline.
Inflexible group - I will take my pack that I always take with me. The formula hasn't done me wrong yet.
Flexible group - It has been a cold and snowy winter. I will probably see lots of new and unconsolidated powder in the trails - I will take the snowshoes and probably use them. It's going to be cold and windy, I'm taking my warmest mitts, a balaclava and another hat, my goggles, and maybe an extra layer of insulation top. If I think it might be so cold and slow going I might even consider taking my heavy thermos with a real hot drink for the day.
What I'm getting at is that it's not cut and dry and people have a choice. I hope we can all can get away from our pre-fabbed lists of must-haves for every outing and actually pay attention to ourselves, our experience, the weather, the conditions, and make better decisions based on those and not a list someone said you should have or the ideal pack weight for every trip. I might be labeled as "light and fast", but that's probably because I don't like carrying a lot of extra weight. But I have gone on trips carrying a lot of weight because well, that is just what needed to be carried based on all these variables.
Although I will still say, and it is nothing new, speed is safety.